Tropical Medicine and Infectious Disease
Immune Network Dysregulation Predicts Adverse Outcomes in Infective Endocarditis
By Isabela Galizzi Fae, Pedro Henrique Oliveira Murta Pinto, Gustavo Brandão de Oliveira and 9 others.
Abstract
Infective endocarditis (IE) is characterized by systemic inflammation, yet the contribution of cytokine network dysregulation to clinical outcomes remains poorly understood. We aimed to evaluate cytokine co-expression patterns in IE and identify immune network signatures associated with in-hospital mortality and major complications. We conducted a prospective cohort study of adult patients hospitalized with IE at a quaternary public hospital in Brazil (2012–2024). Serum cytokines and chemokines were measured at one to three time points during hospitalization. Weighted topological overlap (wTO) and Co-expression Differential Network Analysis (CoDiNA) were used to characterize cytokine interactions in baseline. Logistic mixed-effects models assessed associations between individual cytokines and in-hospital mortality. Of 305 screened patients, 160 met inclusion criteria (41 deaths; in-hospital mortality 25.6%). Survivors exhibited dense, integrated cytokine interaction networks, whereas non-survivors showed markedly fragmented networks with loss of connectivity across multiple cytokines. IFN-γ and IL-1RA formed a preserved but isolated axis in fatal cases, while IL-7 displayed outcome-specific connectivity in patients with infectious complications. A distinct triad involving IFN-γ, IL-1RA, and IL-6 differentiated patients with cardiac complications. In multivariable models adjusted for age, sex, and sampling time, CCL2 was independently associated with in-hospital mortality. Immune network disruption is strongly associated with adverse outcomes in IE. Distinct cytokine signatures, including altered interactions of IFN-γ, IL-1RA, IL-6, IL-7, and CCL2, identify high-risk patients and reveal potential biological pathways underlying clinical deterioration.








